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Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Bitcoin streak since 2012 collides with positive exchange inflows

Lead story · bitcoinBitcoin's on a streak it hasn't hit since 2012 (CoinDesk)

Threat: QUIETConviction: 54/10023 sources
Share
BTC Price$86,504
24h Change1.17%
Fear & Greed71
Hashrate921.2 EH/s
MVRV1.61
Block Height968,229
S&P 5007,764.64
VIX14.21
Gold$4382
DXY100.42
US 10Y4.97%
Oil$88.99
The Fear & Greed index over 90 days: 78, extreme greed.
The Fear & Greed index over 90 days: 78, extreme greed.
Sentiment is at the edge of its own three-month range — the readings that historically precede a turn, not a continuation.

The Lead

Bitcoin cleared a dense short wall on September 22 and extended its longest winning streak since 2012, yet exchange net flows have already flipped positive in multiple trackers and MVRV sits only modestly above its long-term average.

Hormuz de-escalation talks eased Brent below $89 and cut energy inflation risk, but miners have kept hashrate far below 2025 peaks despite the price level, leaving network security thinner than price history implies. The open question is whether sustained inflows above 10,000 BTC will cap the move before the next difficulty retarget.

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Distribution pressure can still override momentum even when sentiment reads extreme greed.

MONDAY · THE PRICE OF MONEY

The 10-year real yield is 2.61%.

Holding cash beats holding nothing again: money has a positive real return, which is the environment every long-duration asset has to argue against. Bitcoin has spent 24% of its life in the opposite regime.

10Y REAL YIELD2.61%
DAYS NEGATIVE1,397
SHARE OF HISTORY23.7%
SINCE2010-07-18

Data as of 2026-09-17 · Real yields

The Wire

BITCOIN
Bitcoin's on a streak it hasn't hit since 2012CoinDesk

BITCOIN
$161 Million in Decade-Old Bitcoin Has Moved in Just Two WeeksDecrypt

ECONOMY
CME Expands Crypto Futures Lineup With Bitcoin Cash and UniswapDecrypt

CONFLICT
Iran floats conditions for Hormuz reopening as Trump says deal could come after midtermsCNBC

CONFLICT
US, Iran hold mediated UNGA talks on ending war, opening Strait of HormuzAl Jazeera

ECONOMY
Wall Street’s Nasdaq hits all-time high as AI frenzy gathers paceAl Jazeera

Sources (23)