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DOCUMENT REF: FEH-SOV-USA-2026Q2COMPILED: 1430Z 26APR26NEXT REVIEW: 26JUL26DECLASSIFIED ON: NEVER
← FISCAL EVENT HORIZON · SOVEREIGN DOSSIER · USA

UNITED STATES

USA
RUNWAY · CURRENT RATES
FAILURE MODE
SOVEREIGNTY SCORE
/100
ITEM 01

HEADLINE METRICS · 5Y CONTEXT

DEBT / GDP
INTEREST / REVENUE
THE KILLER METRIC
PRIMARY BALANCE
REAL GDP GROWTH
EFFECTIVE RATE
AVG MATURITY
ITEM 02

MATURITY WALL · NEXT 10 YEARS

27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
% of stock rolling off in each year. The 2-4 year window is where refi-rate exposure compounds.
ITEM 03

DEBT HOLDERS · COMPOSITION

ITEM 04

STATE OF UNITED STATES · 2026Q2

FISCAL TRAJECTORY
KEY RISKS
COMPARABLE PEERS