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Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Bitcoin holds above $90 oil as dollar stays firm

Lead story · bitcoinBitcoin withstands $90 oil and rising yields while gold slides. A firm dollar is the catch (CoinDesk)

Threat: QUIETConviction: 54/10022 sources
Share
BTC Price$77,635
24h Change-1.91%
Fear & Greed63
Hashrate920.0 EH/s
MVRV1.46
Block Height965,126
S&P 5007,631.47
VIX16.34
Gold$4353
DXY99.76
US 10Y4.80%
Oil$90.60
The Fear & Greed index over 90 days: 69, greed.
The Fear & Greed index over 90 days: 69, greed.
Sentiment is at the edge of its own three-month range — the readings that historically precede a turn, not a continuation.

The Lead

Bitcoin is absorbing a fresh oil shock and higher yields without breaking, yet the firm dollar that keeps both in place is the real constraint on risk assets. Long-term holders are distributing at a faster clip while exchange inflows continue, and the leverage unwind has not cleared the supply. Gold’s slide under the same conditions shows the regime favors cash and duration over commodities or digital scarcity.

The contradiction sits in the data: Bitcoin holds price while gold does not, but neither is attracting fresh capital at scale. The open question is whether sustained distribution from profitable holders will eventually overwhelm the thin bid before the next macro repricing.

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Distribution pressure has not yet met a durable bid.

MONDAY · THE PRICE OF MONEY

The 10-year real yield is 2.42%.

Holding cash beats holding nothing again: money has a positive real return, which is the environment every long-duration asset has to argue against. Bitcoin has spent 24% of its life in the opposite regime.

10Y REAL YIELD2.42%
DAYS NEGATIVE1,397
SHARE OF HISTORY23.7%
SINCE2010-07-18

Data as of 2026-08-28 · Real yields

The Wire

BITCOIN
Bitcoin Slides as US-Iran Tensions EscalateBTC Magazine

BITCOIN
Bitcoin Defies Seasonal Slump With Third-Best August EverBTC Magazine

CONFLICT
Global oil prices surge to a 6-week high after the U.S. strikes Iran in HormuzMarketWatch

ECONOMY
This could be the 10-year Treasury’s tipping point into the danger zoneMarketWatch

CONFLICT
Trump says U.S. is not forcing Iran to negotiate after fresh round of strikesCNBC

ECONOMY
Australia posts second-quarter growth of 2.1%, beating expectationsCNBC

Sources (22)