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Saturday, 22 August 2026

Treasury doubles long-bond buybacks as Bitcoin climbs past $78,000 KICKER: The next netflow reading will show whether buyers arrived or shorts simply covered.

Lead story · bitcoinHow a Treasury buyback tweak helped bitcoin surge 25% to nearly $80,000 in days (CoinDesk)

Threat: QUIETConviction: 54/10025 sources
Share
BTC Price$77,345
24h Change2.61%
Fear & Greed71
Hashrate913.8 EH/s
MVRV1.48
Block Height963,541
S&P 5007,674.37
VIX15.13
Gold$4662
DXY98.84
US 10Y4.74%
Oil$87.06
The Fear & Greed index over 90 days: 72, greed.
The Fear & Greed index over 90 days: 72, greed.
Sentiment is at the edge of its own three-month range — the readings that historically precede a turn, not a continuation.

The Lead

The Treasury’s decision to double long-term bond buybacks to $4 billion per operation drove long yields lower and triggered roughly $4 billion in short liquidations that lifted Bitcoin from the mid-$60,000s to near $80,000 in days.[1] That move eased pressure on risk assets without constituting quantitative easing, yet it leaves the rally exposed once the squeeze exhausts. Miner hashrate has meanwhile slid to multi-month lows as public operators lock power into multi-year AI contracts worth tens of billions, a structural drain that price gains alone have not reversed.[2] The US-Canada tariff standoff, now live with matching retaliatory duties on $20 billion of goods, adds policy friction that has so far stayed contained to trade flows.[3] Will sustained spot demand or renewed distribution flows set the range once the liquidation wave fades?

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The next netflow reading will show whether buyers arrived or shorts simply covered.

SATURDAY · THE LONG VIEW

Price sits −45% against its power-law median.

On a sixteen-year regression that explains 96.2% of the variance, today is 18% of the way up the channel. It is a long-horizon frame, not a trade — but it is the frame that has survived every cycle so far.

PRICE$75,415
MODEL MEDIAN$136,455
CHANNEL FLOOR$36,506
CHANNEL POSITION18%

Data as of 2026-08-21 · Power law

The Wire

BITCOIN
Zcash jumps 48% to over $800 as Grayscale spot ETF push adds to ‘next bitcoin’ buzzCoinDesk

BITCOIN
How a Treasury buyback tweak helped bitcoin surge 25% to nearly $80,000 in daysCoinDesk

ECONOMY
Here’s how Bessent’s newly activist Treasury Department is undercutting the Fed’s WarshMarketWatch

CONFLICT
Russia Says Ready For 'New Ideas' From US On Ending Ukraine WarZeroHedge

CONFLICT
Iranian president says time to end war with US from ‘position of strength’Al Jazeera

POLITICAL
U.S. imposes 50% tariffs on $20 billion worth of Canadian productsNPR World

Sources (25)