Monday, 13 July 2026 · No. 102
Dollar strength and exchange inflows pressure Bitcoin amid Hormuz standoff.
The Lead
Bitcoin trades near 62700 dollars amid net inflows to exchanges and an MVRV ratio of 1.20, indicating holders above cost basis yet actively depositing coins rather than holding or spending them.[1][2] This distribution pattern coincides with a stronger dollar above 101 and 10-year yields near 4.59 percent that drain liquidity from risk assets while geopolitical escalation in the Strait of Hormuz lifts energy costs without triggering any measurable flight into Bitcoin.[3][4] The ignored tension lies in a network whose hashrate and difficulty adjustments signal miner endurance even as exchange supply expands and macro conditions tighten.[5] How long can on-chain resilience mask the absence of fresh demand when liquidity itself is being extracted from the system.
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The Reading
Threat
MONITORING
Conviction
66/100
20 sources cited
At Publication
Now and change since Mon 13 Jul
- BTC Price
- $62,736
- 24h Change
- -1.88%
- Fear & Greed
- 28
- Hashrate
- 875.1 EH/s
- MVRV
- 1.20
- Block Height
- 957,811
- S&P 500
- 7,575.39
- VIX
- 15.03
- Gold
- $4062
- DXY
- 100.89
- US 10Y
- 4.57%
- Oil
- $74.37
In This Briefing
The Wire
BITCOIN
Bitcoin ETFs draw $197M, snap 8-week outflow streak — Cointelegraph
BITCOIN
Strategy's Saylor needs clarity in BTC pivot message to convince investors: StanChart — Cointelegraph
CONFLICT
Iran attacks US military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan — Al Jazeera
CONFLICT
US and Iran trade fire as tensions rise over Strait of Hormuz — BBC World
ECONOMY
Geothermal Heats Up: Fervo Drilling Rates Soar 143% While Quaise Raises $134M — ZeroHedge
DISASTER
Deadly Bangkok pub blaze revives concerns over fire safety lapses — Al Jazeera
Sources (20)
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