--:--:-- UTCF&G--QUIET-
← ArchiveDaily BriefingGenerated 06:00 UTC

Monday, 13 July 2026

Dollar strength and exchange inflows pressure Bitcoin amid Hormuz standoff.

Threat: MONITORINGConviction: 66/10020 sources
Share
How this call played outACCURATE

The outlook held: inflows continued, oil rose on escalation, and Bitcoin remained range-bound near the prior level without a flight-to-safety bid. Macro liquidity drain and geopolitical pressure persisted without shifting on-chain behavior. The conviction level stayed identical at 66/100.

Lesson: Exchange-flow and macro liquidity signals outweigh geopolitical headlines when assessing near-term Bitcoin price resilience.

BTC Price$62,736
24h Change-1.88%
Fear & Greed28
Hashrate875.1 EH/s
MVRV1.20
Block Height957,811
S&P 5007,575.39
VIX15.03
Gold$4062
DXY100.89
US 10Y4.57%
Oil$74.37

The Lead

Bitcoin trades near 62700 dollars amid net inflows to exchanges and an MVRV ratio of 1.20, indicating holders above cost basis yet actively depositing coins rather than holding or spending them.[1][2] This distribution pattern coincides with a stronger dollar above 101 and 10-year yields near 4.59 percent that drain liquidity from risk assets while geopolitical escalation in the Strait of Hormuz lifts energy costs without triggering any measurable flight into Bitcoin.[3][4] The ignored tension lies in a network whose hashrate and difficulty adjustments signal miner endurance even as exchange supply expands and macro conditions tighten.[5] How long can on-chain resilience mask the absence of fresh demand when liquidity itself is being extracted from the system.

4 MORE SECTIONS · MARKET · NETWORK · GEOPOLITICAL · MACRO

Sign in free to read the full briefing — all five agent sections, every day.

SIGN IN FREE →

The Wire

BITCOIN
Bitcoin ETFs draw $197M, snap 8-week outflow streakCointelegraph

BITCOIN
Strategy's Saylor needs clarity in BTC pivot message to convince investors: StanChartCointelegraph

CONFLICT
Iran attacks US military bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and JordanAl Jazeera

CONFLICT
US and Iran trade fire as tensions rise over Strait of HormuzBBC World

ECONOMY
Geothermal Heats Up: Fervo Drilling Rates Soar 143% While Quaise Raises $134MZeroHedge

DISASTER
Deadly Bangkok pub blaze revives concerns over fire safety lapsesAl Jazeera

Sources (20)