Thursday, 16 July 2026 · No. 105
Hormuz closure steepens yields as Bitcoin volume stays flat
The Lead
The Hormuz closure has already pushed Brent above eighty dollars and steepened the Treasury curve, yet Bitcoin sits flat with only modest exchange outflows and holders still showing small unrealized gains on an MVRV near 1.22. Miners face another difficulty drop inside ten days while the market treats the energy shock as contained rather than a sustained cost shock that could force further hashrate exits or accelerate capitulation if inflows reverse. The open question is whether repeated geopolitical oil spikes will keep lifting gold and term premiums without ever translating into measurable Bitcoin accumulation once the initial flight-to-safety bid fades.
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The Reading
Threat
QUIET
Conviction
66/100
19 sources cited
At Publication
Now and change since Thu 16 Jul
- BTC Price
- $64,871
- 24h Change
- 0.01%
- Fear & Greed
- 25
- Hashrate
- 897.6 EH/s
- MVRV
- 1.22
- Block Height
- 958,246
- S&P 500
- 7,572.4
- VIX
- 15.67
- Gold
- $4039
- DXY
- 100.33
- US 10Y
- 4.54%
- Oil
- $79.56
In This Briefing
The Wire
BITCOIN
A bitcoin wallet dormant since the 2017 peak just moved $383 million — CoinDesk
BITCOIN
Two groups of bitcoin Investors sell on the rise as U.S. inflation lifts prices to nearly $65,000 — CoinDesk
ECONOMY
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's testimony to Senate banking committee hits on economy, interest rates — CNBC
CONFLICT
Trump says Iran wants to meet as U.S. fires more strikes; analysts warn of 'forever war' risk — CNBC
CONFLICT
Former US Ambassador says Iran miscalculated Trump’s resolve — Al Jazeera
POLITICAL
Brazil condemns US move to impose 25% tariffs next week — Guardian
Sources (19)
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