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—UTCBTC—F&G—Threat —
← ArchiveDaily BriefingGenerated 06:00 UTC

Wednesday, 8 July 2026 · No. 97

Bitcoin holds near 62,500 as hashrate slips and Hormuz tensions rise.

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The Lead

Bitcoin trades near 62,500 dollars in low-conviction consolidation after the overnight dip, with MVRV at 1.20 leaving scant margin above realized basis yet no capitulation visible in flows or liquidations.[1][2] Hashrate has eroded further toward 850 EH/s with an imminent difficulty cut of 4-6 percent, aligning miner participation with price weakness rather than countering it.[3][4] The ignored contradiction sits in elevated yields and a firmer dollar holding steady amid fresh Hormuz strikes and US retaliation, which markets treat as containable rather than liquidity-tightening.[5][6] How long can Bitcoin's security layer and holder base absorb this mismatch before the next leg down materializes or the macro floor cracks.

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