Oil supply shocks sustain higher-for-longer rates amid quiet Bitcoin accumulation.

Bitcoin absorbs steady accumulation on exchanges while energy-driven inflation keeps real rates elevated and the Fed on hold. This pattern leaves holders positioned defensively at an MVRV near 1.4 with fear dominant, yet no liquidation cascade has reset leverage for a clean advance. The ignored contradiction is that geopolitical oil shocks tightening supply through the Strait of Hormuz sustain dollar liquidity pressure without triggering measurable sanctuary flows into Bitcoin. Does persistent miner endurance and modest Lightning growth under current economics actually support higher prices, or does it merely confirm survival at these levels until macro relief arrives?