Thursday, 14 May 2026 · No. 42
Exchange inflows signal distribution as yields rise and Hormuz blockade persists.
The Lead
Bitcoin trades at $79,558 after a 1.41% drop, with exchange net inflows of 902 BTC over the past day confirming distribution into thinning bids.Glassnode Holders face selling pressure from fear at 34 and 10-year yields at 4.46%, which lure capital to safer yields as DXY steadies near 98.4. Network holds firm at near-1000 EH/s hashrate, decoupling miner resolve from spot weakness, yet this offers no price floor amid Hormuz blockade throttling oil flows and lifting Brent to $107 without sparking Bitcoin refuge demand—gold climbs to $4700 instead.Yahoo Finance People ignore how resilient dollar liquidity absorbs geopolitical shocks, starving risk assets of inflows despite QT stress. Bitcoin drifts lower until supply ebbs. Will Hormuz reopen before yields spike enough to trigger cuts?[1][2]
The full briefing
The full briefing is free with an account
Four more sections every morning: market conditions, network health, geopolitical watch and the macro pulse.
Registration takes an email or a Nostr key, and either way 7 days of VIP come with it.
The Reading
Threat
QUIET
Conviction
63/100
25 sources cited
At Publication
Now and change since Thu 14 May
- BTC Price
- $79,781
- 24h Change
- -1.49%
- Fear & Greed
- 34
- Hashrate
- 999.3 EH/s
- MVRV
- 1.46
- Block Height
- 949,330
- S&P 500
- 7,444.25
- VIX
- 17.87
- Gold
- $4693
- DXY
- 98.37
- US 10Y
- 4.48%
- Oil
- $101.47
In This Briefing
The Wire
BITCOIN
AI chatbot Claude helps man recover 5 Bitcoin after finding old seed phrase — Cointelegraph
BITCOIN
Bitcoin Rally Cut Short as Profit-Taking Rises, US Demand Falls: CryptoQuant — Decrypt
CONFLICT
UK GDP report to show how Iran war hurt economy in March – business live — Guardian Biz
CONFLICT
Russia hits Kyiv with drones and ballistic missiles, killing 1 and injuring 31 — NPR World
POLITICAL
Trump China visit live: Xi Jinping warns US and China could ‘come into conflict’ if Taiwan issue mishandled, state media reports — Guardian
POLITICAL
Trump-Xi summit live: US, China leaders holding talks on trade, tech, Iran — Al Jazeera
Sources (25)
The Situation Room is paid for by its members, in sats: no ads, no data sales, no investors. Membership →