Hawkish policy and geopolitical tensions pin Bitcoin near 78200.

Persistent disruption from the closed Strait of Hormuz drives energy prices higher and forces central banks into uniformly hawkish positions. Their rejection of rate cuts sustains elevated real yields along with tighter liquidity conditions across markets. Bitcoin therefore stays pinned in fragile equilibrium even as exchange net outflows confirm ongoing accumulation by holders. Most investors ignore the glaring contradiction that this same environment propelled gold to records as a safe haven while Bitcoin garners no such re-rating. Reuters Network resilience with steady hashrate and expanding Lightning capacity offers no counter to that macro drag. The entire structure now rests on whether current holder loyalty survives if the geopolitical impasse drags on and growth slows further. How much economic damage must mount before those holders liquidate their positions?